Thousands of Motor Carriers Close in First Half of 2024

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9/10/2024

Last week, Illinois-based trucking company Midwest Transport Inc. shuttered unexpectedly, leaving over 480 drivers suddenly out of work. Sadly, the company joins a long list of closures over the past two years.

Analyzing data from the Federal Motor Carriers Association (FMCSA), TruckInfo.net found a net contraction of nearly 10,000 motor carriers in the first half of 2024 alone.

Below are four charts that put the current freight recession into context.

The freight market is typically a leading indicator of the general economy

Research by the Bureau of Transportation Statistics shows that dips in the freight market typically precede dips in the general economy.

A time series graph showing that downturns in the freight market usually precede a recession in the general economy

While the industry hopes for a recovery, historical trends suggest this is likely the new normal

After peaking in May 2022, the freight market for long-distance trucking steadily declined for 12 months before flatlining the past year. Many in the industry are hoping the market "recovers" to 2022 levels but based on historical metrics, it seems unlikely.

Producer Price Index by Industry: General Freight Trucking, Long-Distance Truckload: Primary Services, May 2022=100; September 2024=74

More closures are likely on the way

Despite 33,000 fewer motor carriers operating since the 2022 peak, the industry still has over 64,000 more carriers than before the pre-COVID boom. With the market flatlining, there's likely still excess capacity to shed.

The South has been most impacted in terms of closures

The South has been hit hardest by these closures, with Louisiana, Mississippi, Georgia, and Alabama all experiencing contractions of over 5% in the first half of 2024.

While Southern states saw the biggest contractions, only five states – Idaho, Oregon, New Hampshire, Vermont, and Indiana – experienced any expansion in motor carriers during the same period.

Methodology

All data, unless otherwise noted, was sourced from the FMCSA database on operating authority, which provides comprehensive information on motor carrier operations. Only US-based motor carriers with property authority were included in the analysis.

About the Author
Kyle Fretwell of TruckInfo.net
Kyle Fretwell has worked as a researcher and data journalist for over a decade. His work has appeared in publications such as Bloomberg, Fox Business, MSN, USA Today, CNBC, and the Houston Chronicle.

He now manages TruckInfo.net's content team and is a regular fixture at the Mid-America Trucking Show in Louisville.

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